Good hurricane forecasts may have reached the point of doing more harm than good. Since 1970 the American Meterological Society has editorialized against the bad hurricane policies of the US. In particular, the coastal development planning and regulation emphasizes evacuation and encourages people to live in areas at risk. Evacuation is a brittle protection. Failures are complete, not partial. The recommended policies are mitigations that reduce risk and provide partial protection even when the hurricane overwhelms the protections.
(My first experiment was with SVG. That doesn't work so well with Typepad. It puts in a nice link that you can follow, so if your browser supports SVG you then get to see it. This diagram does OK as an image, so it's in as an image with thumbnail.)